HVAC Business Valuation Multiples 2025: What Buyers Are Paying
HVAC companies are commanding 2.5x–5.0x SDE in today's market. Here's exactly what's driving those multiples up — and what's dragging them down.
Read Article →Kansas HVAC businesses benefit from Wichita's aerospace manufacturing commercial demand, Kansas City's Johnson County suburban growth, and Kansas's 5.7% top income tax rate.
Jason Taken
HedgeStone Business Advisors
Kansas's HVAC market serves two distinct economies: Wichita — the Air Capital of the World with aerospace manufacturing creating commercial HVAC demand unlike most mid-tier cities — and the Kansas side of the Kansas City metro (Johnson County), one of the wealthiest suburban counties in the Midwest. Kansas's continental climate with hot, humid summers and cold winters drives year-round HVAC demand and strong maintenance agreement adoption.
Kansas HVAC businesses sell for 2.5x–4.5x SDE. Johnson County (Overland Park, Olathe, Leawood, Lenexa) commands the strongest multiples in the state — exceptional suburban wealth, large commercial campus HVAC demand from Sprint/T-Mobile (Overland Park headquarters), and active Kansas City PE buyer competition. Wichita (Sedgwick County) is the second market: commercial aerospace manufacturing HVAC for Spirit AeroSystems, Textron Aviation, Bombardier, and Cessna creates a specialized industrial HVAC market with recurring maintenance contracts and high billing rates. Suburban Wichita residential markets (Derby, Maize, Andover) add residential service demand.
Wichita's aerospace concentration is the city's defining commercial characteristic for HVAC — Spirit AeroSystems builds Boeing 737 fuselages, Textron Aviation manufactures Cessna and Beechcraft aircraft, and Bombardier has a completion center. These manufacturing facilities require specialized industrial HVAC: aircraft fuselage manufacturing cleanrooms require specific temperature and humidity control for composite materials, paint hangars require specialized exhaust and air replacement systems, and precision manufacturing areas require contamination-controlled environments. HVAC businesses with aerospace manufacturing certifications and relationships command industrial HVAC rates 2–3x standard commercial billing.
Johnson County is one of the wealthiest suburban counties in the Midwest — Overland Park, Leawood, and Prairie Village have high household incomes and large homes with premium HVAC expectations. Average HVAC system replacement values in Leawood and Overland Park run $12,000–$22,000 (versus $8,000–$14,000 in mid-market Kansas communities), and homeowners adopt maintenance agreements at rates above the Kansas average. HVAC businesses serving Johnson County residential accounts achieve the highest revenue per customer in Kansas, with annual maintenance agreement revenue per account of $250–$400 versus $180–$280 statewide.
Kansas's top individual income tax rate is 5.7% — the highest in the immediate region and a meaningful consideration for HVAC exits. On a $2M HVAC exit, Kansas sellers pay $114,000 in state income taxes — versus $96,000 in Missouri (4.8%), $61,000 in Indiana (3.05%), or $76,000 in Iowa (3.8%). Kansas HVAC owners within the Kansas City metro area should note that Missouri residency (across the state line) is achievable for genuine residents: Missouri's 4.8% rate versus Kansas's 5.7% saves $18,000 on a $2M exit. For Wichita-based owners, the residency change is not practical, but working with a Kansas CPA on installment sale election and S-corporation structure can reduce the effective Kansas tax burden by $20,000–$40,000 on a typical exit.
HVAC companies are commanding 2.5x–5.0x SDE in today's market. Here's exactly what's driving those multiples up — and what's dragging them down.
Read Article →Oklahoma HVAC businesses benefit from extreme summers over 100°F, active PE buyer interest, and a 4.75% top income tax rate. Oklahoma City's suburban growth is driving strong residential demand.
Read Article →Missouri HVAC businesses benefit from extreme summer and winter temperature swings, Kansas City's corporate commercial market, and Missouri's 4.8% top income tax rate declining toward 4.5%.
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