Earnout Risk/Reward Calculator
Is that earnout offer actually worth taking? Model base, upside, and downside scenarios to get a probability-weighted expected value.
Deal Terms
Scenario Probabilities & Payouts
Probabilities should sum to ~100%. Enter what % of the earnout you'd collect in each scenario.
Base Case
Upside Case
Downside Case
Earnouts Are the Riskiest Part of Any Deal.
Jason Taken negotiates deals where sellers get maximum cash at close — not promises tied to a buyer's future performance. If an earnout is unavoidable, he structures it to protect you.
Discuss Your Earnout Options →No contact forms. No obligation. Direct access to Jason Taken, Business Broker.